Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #495 / 1,000

P0800

Strict limits. The visible outcome sits at the 54,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 211

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 789

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 536Deviation -R 1 253

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 789. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 920

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 712 to R 4 281
Finished ahead: 200 / 1,000 (20,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #538 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.117
Mean bets / session: 2.994
Loss multiplier: 1.0108×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,0% / 24,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 1 86620 wagers · RTP 94,91%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 85520 wagers · RTP 29,87%

BaccaratR 1 75018 wagers · RTP 108,74%

BlackjackR 8649 wagers · RTP 86,81%

CrashR 4945 wagers · RTP 69,48%

Three-Reel SlotR 3954 wagers · RTP 27,59%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2973 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1762 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 1742 wagers · RTP 143,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1732 wagers · RTP 129,57%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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