Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #557 / 1,000

P0801

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 64,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 626

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 374

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 817Deviation -R 1 556

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 374. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 834

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 359 to R 30 416
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #745 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,90% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.734
Mean bets / session: 2.881
Loss multiplier: 1.1272×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,5% / 46,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 49211 wagers · RTP 85,42%

American RouletteR 4 0806 wagers · RTP 151,32%

European RouletteR 3 2918 wagers · RTP 51,60%

BaccaratR 1 8782 wagers · RTP 50,00%

CrashR 1 8274 wagers · RTP 78,13%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 60,00%

BlackjackR 9391 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8194 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 4121 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2893 wagers · RTP 69,20%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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