Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #78 / 1,000

P0805

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 84,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 15 076

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 076

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 452Deviation R 6 528

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 5 076. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 094

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 491 to R 23 916
Finished ahead: 241 / 1,000 (24,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #797 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 6,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.849
Mean bets / session: 4.183
Loss multiplier: 1.1168×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,0% / 75,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 23916 wagers · RTP 108,97%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5 12221 wagers · RTP 8,92%

American RouletteR 3 8059 wagers · RTP 169,20%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 50014 wagers · RTP 250,00%

European RouletteR 2 3905 wagers · RTP 37,57%

BlackjackR 2 1434 wagers · RTP 215,82%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 60016 wagers · RTP 75,00%

BaccaratR 1 3843 wagers · RTP 123,89%

Craps / DiceR 6781 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 3901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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