Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #973 / 1,000

P0819

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 5,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 992

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 938Deviation -R 9 054

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 992. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 543

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 993 to R 26 185
Finished ahead: 207 / 1,000 (20,7%)
At least one ruin: 26 / 1,000 (2,6%)
Median rank: #920 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,53% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.399
Mean bets / session: 4.06
Loss multiplier: 1.1658×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,7% / 56,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 68528 wagers · RTP 17,06%

CrashR 3 24032 wagers · RTP 70,45%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 94829 wagers · RTP 19,10%

European RouletteR 2 0527 wagers · RTP 14,33%

BlackjackR 1 91612 wagers · RTP 140,79%

Craps / DiceR 8816 wagers · RTP 0,57%

American RouletteR 8106 wagers · RTP 0,74%

BaccaratR 77611 wagers · RTP 26,29%

Three-Reel SlotR 65814 wagers · RTP 49,09%

Lottery / JackpotR 31413 wagers · RTP 90,45%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies