Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #507 / 1,000

P0823

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 58,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 096

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 904

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 615Deviation -R 1 289

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 904. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 342

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 498 to R 9 962
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #582 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,74% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.881
Mean bets / session: 4.663
Loss multiplier: 1.2227×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 45,0% / 86,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 63222 wagers · RTP 109,71%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 44420 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 76615 wagers · RTP 51,53%

American RouletteR 1 31912 wagers · RTP 252,46%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 16411 wagers · RTP 24,18%

European RouletteR 6857 wagers · RTP 13,58%

Lottery / JackpotR 5247 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 5125 wagers · RTP 125,39%

BaccaratR 3583 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 1602 wagers · RTP 500,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies