Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #919 / 1,000

P0826

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 22,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 697

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 303

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 155Deviation -R 8 148

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 303. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 587

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 835 to R 30 894
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #815 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.346
Mean bets / session: 2.276
Loss multiplier: 1.2447×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,3% / 68,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7 16333 wagers · RTP 20,06%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 06720 wagers · RTP 130,34%

BaccaratR 2 9066 wagers · RTP 107,33%

CrashR 2 8127 wagers · RTP 43,28%

European RouletteR 2 3193 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 6574 wagers · RTP 116,63%

American RouletteR 1 4286 wagers · RTP 19,75%

Three-Reel SlotR 8404 wagers · RTP 29,76%

Lottery / JackpotR 5596 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies