Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #406 / 1,000

P0831

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 74,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 087

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 913

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 373Deviation -R 540

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 913. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 517

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 525 to R 11 951
Finished ahead: 193 / 1,000 (19,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #598 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,24% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.794
Mean bets / session: 4.249
Loss multiplier: 0.9683×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,6% / 99,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 79125 wagers · RTP 91,19%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 29122 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 86116 wagers · RTP 95,85%

Craps / DiceR 6895 wagers · RTP 81,57%

BaccaratR 5855 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 4827 wagers · RTP 77,28%

BlackjackR 4553 wagers · RTP 83,96%

Lottery / JackpotR 2133 wagers · RTP 328,64%

CrashR 1822 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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