Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #935 / 1,000

P0832

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 46,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 352

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 648

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 005Deviation -R 8 643

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 648. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 9 467

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 990 to R 33 070
Finished ahead: 229 / 1,000 (22,9%)
At least one ruin: 9 / 1,000 (0,9%)
Median rank: #918 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.36
Mean bets / session: 3.656
Loss multiplier: 1.1503×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,0% / 63,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 6 21222 wagers · RTP 32,79%

BaccaratR 3 49313 wagers · RTP 80,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 26721 wagers · RTP 55,10%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 46813 wagers · RTP 54,65%

BlackjackR 2 3859 wagers · RTP 108,51%

CrashR 1 8587 wagers · RTP 11,50%

European RouletteR 1 6866 wagers · RTP 93,42%

Craps / DiceR 9987 wagers · RTP 62,73%

Three-Reel SlotR 89410 wagers · RTP 153,64%

Lottery / JackpotR 7649 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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