Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #917 / 1,000

P0837

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 19,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 714

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 286

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 937Deviation -R 8 349

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 286. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 901

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 814 to R 25 625
Finished ahead: 266 / 1,000 (26,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #788 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.312
Mean bets / session: 2.396
Loss multiplier: 1.2159×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 61,9% / 53,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 71617 wagers · RTP 89,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 26014 wagers · RTP 3,81%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 85718 wagers · RTP 18,45%

CrashR 2 51311 wagers · RTP 62,75%

European RouletteR 1 3555 wagers · RTP 80,59%

BlackjackR 1 3154 wagers · RTP 103,80%

BaccaratR 9025 wagers · RTP 20,40%

American RouletteR 5461 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 4293 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3985 wagers · RTP 10,05%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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