Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #31 / 1,000

P0839

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 98,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 26 873

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 16 873

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 883Deviation R 17 757

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 16 873. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 980

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 562 to R 10 602
Finished ahead: 208 / 1,000 (20,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #544 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,93% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.143
Mean bets / session: 3.002
Loss multiplier: 0.9632×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,4% / 82,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 5 10317 wagers · RTP 108,32%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 55622 wagers · RTP 516,15%

CrashR 3 99015 wagers · RTP 69,25%

Craps / DiceR 2 4318 wagers · RTP 85,07%

BaccaratR 2 3506 wagers · RTP 107,86%

European RouletteR 2 1907 wagers · RTP 50,82%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 8728 wagers · RTP 60,10%

BlackjackR 1 0444 wagers · RTP 148,47%

American RouletteR 6882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 1 000,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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