Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #772 / 1,000

P0842

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 37,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 288

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 712

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 854Deviation -R 4 858

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 712. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 582

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 074 to R 20 486
Finished ahead: 215 / 1,000 (21,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #731 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,44% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.093
Mean bets / session: 2.319
Loss multiplier: 1.2121×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 74,9% / 54,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 5 06314 wagers · RTP 146,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 43814 wagers · RTP 95,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 66912 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2 4326 wagers · RTP 13,62%

European RouletteR 2 1007 wagers · RTP 25,14%

BlackjackR 1 7494 wagers · RTP 85,48%

Craps / DiceR 1 1783 wagers · RTP 25,13%

BaccaratR 1 0083 wagers · RTP 92,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 3652 wagers · RTP 24,52%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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