Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #789 / 1,000

P0850

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 34,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 926

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 074

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 816Deviation -R 5 258

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 074. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 410

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 804 to R 28 900
Finished ahead: 223 / 1,000 (22,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #725 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.658
Mean bets / session: 4.986
Loss multiplier: 1.1491×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 53,7% / 53,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 24012 wagers · RTP 83,84%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 18514 wagers · RTP 3,64%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 50015 wagers · RTP 26,67%

CrashR 1 4967 wagers · RTP 79,51%

European RouletteR 1 4336 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 0495 wagers · RTP 100,38%

BlackjackR 9934 wagers · RTP 145,62%

Craps / DiceR 9164 wagers · RTP 82,10%

American RouletteR 8103 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 275,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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