Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #651 / 1,000

P0853

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 26,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 317

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 683

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 525Deviation -R 3 158

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 683. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 594

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 923 to R 12 278
Finished ahead: 194 / 1,000 (19,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #607 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,04% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.282
Mean bets / session: 3.11
Loss multiplier: 1.095×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,0% / 74,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 30623 wagers · RTP 109,86%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 30212 wagers · RTP 8,14%

European RouletteR 1 20212 wagers · RTP 37,94%

BlackjackR 1 08713 wagers · RTP 73,97%

BaccaratR 8908 wagers · RTP 88,54%

Craps / DiceR 5447 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 5066 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3605 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2935 wagers · RTP 84,13%

American RouletteR 2232 wagers · RTP 43,05%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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