Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #937 / 1,000

P0856

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 11,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 313

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 687

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 660Deviation -R 9 027

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 687. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 778

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 869 to R 27 080
Finished ahead: 233 / 1,000 (23,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #827 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,19% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.771
Mean bets / session: 4.394
Loss multiplier: 1.2081×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 54,2% / 96,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 4 11610 wagers · RTP 3,79%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 65020 wagers · RTP 6,58%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 39716 wagers · RTP 71,20%

CrashR 1 9318 wagers · RTP 44,80%

BlackjackR 1 8287 wagers · RTP 38,84%

American RouletteR 1 0443 wagers · RTP 251,72%

Three-Reel SlotR 6493 wagers · RTP 22,96%

BaccaratR 4684 wagers · RTP 139,99%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1261 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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