Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #805 / 1,000

P0857

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 24,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 571

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 429

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 913Deviation -R 5 515

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 429. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 208

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 595 to R 26 773
Finished ahead: 191 / 1,000 (19,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #712 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,41% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.831
Mean bets / session: 3.664
Loss multiplier: 1.1551×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,1% / 88,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 94120 wagers · RTP 15,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 90916 wagers · RTP 96,40%

Craps / DiceR 2 70711 wagers · RTP 56,52%

CrashR 1 7537 wagers · RTP 65,46%

American RouletteR 1 5306 wagers · RTP 33,33%

BaccaratR 1 5026 wagers · RTP 132,09%

BlackjackR 7593 wagers · RTP 216,40%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

European RouletteR 5102 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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