Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #740 / 1,000

P0859

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 8,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 904

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 096

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 399Deviation -R 4 697

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 096. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 351

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 580 to R 6 708
Finished ahead: 234 / 1,000 (23,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #578 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 6,88% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.715
Mean bets / session: 2.762
Loss multiplier: 1.0335×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 73,8% / 56,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 56812 wagers · RTP 58,33%

CrashR 2 55412 wagers · RTP 16,76%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 4797 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 2846 wagers · RTP 108,33%

European RouletteR 6423 wagers · RTP 133,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 4282 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BaccaratR 4282 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2141 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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