Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #745 / 1,000

P0861

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 31,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 822

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 178

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 476Deviation -R 4 702

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 178. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 632

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 541 to R 25 058
Finished ahead: 263 / 1,000 (26,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #683 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,03% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.692
Mean bets / session: 2.862
Loss multiplier: 1.2161×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 74,0% / 89,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 89213 wagers · RTP 102,52%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 58012 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6835 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5727 wagers · RTP 67,30%

Craps / DiceR 7723 wagers · RTP 102,33%

American RouletteR 6213 wagers · RTP 25,76%

BlackjackR 4932 wagers · RTP 200,00%

CrashR 4241 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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