Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #750 / 1,000

P0869

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 31,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 724

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 276

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 889Deviation -R 4 387

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 276. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 189

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 963 to R 14 163
Finished ahead: 184 / 1,000 (18,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #712 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,68% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.934
Mean bets / session: 4.476
Loss multiplier: 1.1704×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 60,8% / 83,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 4 18217 wagers · RTP 69,23%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 86521 wagers · RTP 10,87%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 74618 wagers · RTP 109,52%

American RouletteR 3 20513 wagers · RTP 186,21%

BaccaratR 2 0518 wagers · RTP 58,19%

BlackjackR 1 5936 wagers · RTP 85,19%

European RouletteR 1 5798 wagers · RTP 5,83%

Craps / DiceR 1 2496 wagers · RTP 105,36%

Three-Reel SlotR 8504 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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