Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #932 / 1,000

P0872

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 7,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 409

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 591

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 365Deviation -R 8 226

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 591. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 282

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 662 to R 28 080
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #808 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,14% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.359
Mean bets / session: 3.55
Loss multiplier: 1.1913×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 49,1% / 47,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 56035 wagers · RTP 78,13%

American RouletteR 4 63122 wagers · RTP 66,68%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 55723 wagers · RTP 10,49%

European RouletteR 2 88411 wagers · RTP 33,91%

BaccaratR 2 14611 wagers · RTP 133,50%

Craps / DiceR 1 98110 wagers · RTP 111,86%

CrashR 1 6177 wagers · RTP 16,84%

BlackjackR 1 4998 wagers · RTP 80,72%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 13315 wagers · RTP 52,96%

Three-Reel SlotR 6615 wagers · RTP 52,95%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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