Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #691 / 1,000

P0877

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 61,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 685

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 315

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 545Deviation -R 2 770

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 315. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 368

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 605 to R 24 723
Finished ahead: 250 / 1,000 (25,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #805 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 6,54% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.339
Mean bets / session: 2.412
Loss multiplier: 1.0693×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,8% / 60,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 7 38017 wagers · RTP 62,43%

Craps / DiceR 6 17913 wagers · RTP 62,19%

CrashR 4 45210 wagers · RTP 71,01%

BlackjackR 3 5917 wagers · RTP 105,26%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 25013 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2 3415 wagers · RTP 24,22%

BaccaratR 2 2765 wagers · RTP 53,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 64,29%

European RouletteR 9872 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 2 500,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies