Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #905 / 1,000

P0879

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 25,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 020

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 980

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 082Deviation -R 7 898

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 980. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 223

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 618 to R 25 476
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #837 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,67% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.366
Mean bets / session: 2.964
Loss multiplier: 1.2463×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 46,1% / 42,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 3 53521 wagers · RTP 79,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 12620 wagers · RTP 8,54%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 96417 wagers · RTP 81,32%

BaccaratR 2 0659 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 57011 wagers · RTP 6,11%

American RouletteR 1 1666 wagers · RTP 16,12%

Lottery / JackpotR 5948 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 5595 wagers · RTP 226,30%

BlackjackR 5283 wagers · RTP 93,56%

Three-Reel SlotR 4202 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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