Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #726 / 1,000

P0880

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 58,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 207

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 793

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 366Deviation -R 3 427

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 793. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 744

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 554 to R 25 559
Finished ahead: 191 / 1,000 (19,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #782 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,16% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.158
Mean bets / session: 3.21
Loss multiplier: 0.9002×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 57,7% / 56,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 8 18918 wagers · RTP 131,73%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 23520 wagers · RTP 5,90%

BlackjackR 3 1229 wagers · RTP 53,04%

Craps / DiceR 2 9365 wagers · RTP 122,00%

European RouletteR 2 9228 wagers · RTP 29,77%

CrashR 2 1975 wagers · RTP 84,15%

BaccaratR 2 0375 wagers · RTP 136,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 6797 wagers · RTP 80,88%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 25,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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