Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #475 / 1,000

P0881

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 62,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 355

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 645

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 643Deviation -R 1 002

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 645. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 378

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 648 to R 10 061
Finished ahead: 202 / 1,000 (20,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #584 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,07% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.292
Mean bets / session: 2.395
Loss multiplier: 1.0554×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 48,4% / 85,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 98020 wagers · RTP 124,18%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 40218 wagers · RTP 3,83%

European RouletteR 1 94815 wagers · RTP 105,08%

American RouletteR 8427 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 7995 wagers · RTP 86,86%

Craps / DiceR 7344 wagers · RTP 225,48%

BlackjackR 6034 wagers · RTP 156,55%

CrashR 5404 wagers · RTP 67,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 3294 wagers · RTP 41,34%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 66,67%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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