Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #588 / 1,000

P0888

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 11,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 321

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 679

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 246Deviation -R 2 434

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 679. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 321

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 167 to R 6 473
Finished ahead: 217 / 1,000 (21,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #466 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,12% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.646
Mean bets / session: 2.119
Loss multiplier: 1.0686×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 43,6% / 52,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 42012 wagers · RTP 38,42%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 99910 wagers · RTP 3,80%

American RouletteR 3294 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2553 wagers · RTP 167,06%

BlackjackR 1791 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1242 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 831 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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