Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #771 / 1,000

P0899

Variable / random staking. The visible outcome sits at the 42,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 318

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 682

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 960Deviation -R 4 722

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 682. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 836

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 790 to R 25 659
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #746 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.025
Mean bets / session: 3.014
Loss multiplier: 1.199×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,8% / 94,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 65313 wagers · RTP 104,39%

CrashR 3 4139 wagers · RTP 53,29%

BaccaratR 3 26210 wagers · RTP 146,81%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 14315 wagers · RTP 7,25%

European RouletteR 2 1168 wagers · RTP 54,06%

Craps / DiceR 2 0086 wagers · RTP 53,59%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 60,00%

BlackjackR 9684 wagers · RTP 36,16%

American RouletteR 9624 wagers · RTP 157,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 7908 wagers · RTP 50,63%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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