Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #620 / 1,000

P0902

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 53,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 898

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 102

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 821Deviation -R 2 281

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 102. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 466

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 971 to R 12 014
Finished ahead: 239 / 1,000 (23,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #669 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,29% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.665
Mean bets / session: 4.156
Loss multiplier: 1.2101×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 67,2% / 59,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9638 wagers · RTP 67,37%

Craps / DiceR 2 3317 wagers · RTP 59,89%

BaccaratR 2 1657 wagers · RTP 96,81%

European RouletteR 2 0816 wagers · RTP 139,98%

BlackjackR 2 0226 wagers · RTP 131,45%

CrashR 1 9229 wagers · RTP 123,44%

American RouletteR 1 3126 wagers · RTP 34,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1236 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 9134 wagers · RTP 27,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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