Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #615 / 1,000

P0906

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 19,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 948

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 052

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 287Deviation -R 2 765

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 052. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 751

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 010 to R 7 962
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #518 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,06% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.591
Mean bets / session: 2.707
Loss multiplier: 0.9489×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 79,0% / 92,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9595 wagers · RTP 17,94%

American RouletteR 9425 wagers · RTP 109,87%

Three-Reel SlotR 9195 wagers · RTP 13,60%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7664 wagers · RTP 49,47%

CrashR 6414 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 5684 wagers · RTP 40,51%

BlackjackR 3952 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2913 wagers · RTP 62,54%

European RouletteR 2902 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1941 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies