Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #283 / 1,000

P0909

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 67,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 743

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 257

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 423Deviation R 166

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 257. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 963

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 282 to R 8 223
Finished ahead: 306 / 1,000 (30,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #543 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 3,68% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.81
Mean bets / session: 1.258
Loss multiplier: 1.1749×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,1% / 60,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 3 0216 wagers · RTP 103,48%

BaccaratR 1 2422 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 9532 wagers · RTP 162,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 9034 wagers · RTP 113,84%

CrashR 8202 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8042 wagers · RTP 117,52%

BlackjackR 7281 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7153 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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