Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #204 / 1,000

P0910

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 71,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 125

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 125

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 305Deviation R 430

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 125. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 284

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 999 to R 6 888
Finished ahead: 296 / 1,000 (29,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #462 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.606
Mean bets / session: 1.007
Loss multiplier: 0.8645×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 38,6% / 43,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 1 3613 wagers · RTP 141,07%

European RouletteR 1 0862 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 290,07%

BlackjackR 9682 wagers · RTP 165,86%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Craps / DiceR 5431 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 4431 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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