Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #16 / 1,000

P0912

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 95,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 34 736

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 24 736

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 2 674Deviation R 27 409

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 24 736. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 192

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 709 to R 24 549
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #839 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.184
Mean bets / session: 4.646
Loss multiplier: 1.0864×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 58,2% / 101,7% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 10 17319 wagers · RTP 81,20%

American RouletteR 9 25817 wagers · RTP 116,19%

BlackjackR 8 00715 wagers · RTP 98,63%

Craps / DiceR 7 77316 wagers · RTP 151,49%

European RouletteR 7 21713 wagers · RTP 24,48%

CrashR 7 00014 wagers · RTP 58,93%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6 13513 wagers · RTP 117,77%

Three-Reel SlotR 4 64019 wagers · RTP 51,19%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 24313 wagers · RTP 1 079,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies