Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #724 / 1,000

P0914

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 25,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 230

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 770

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 630Deviation -R 4 140

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 770. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 748

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 940 to R 14 668
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #610 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,40% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.544
Mean bets / session: 3.737
Loss multiplier: 1.2108×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 75,7% / 43,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 3 3889 wagers · RTP 127,72%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0926 wagers · RTP 100,84%

CrashR 2 0415 wagers · RTP 41,65%

Craps / DiceR 1 8995 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 4784 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 4504 wagers · RTP 123,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9724 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 8502 wagers · RTP 150,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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