Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #70 / 1,000

P0920

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 97,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 15 737

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 737

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 580Deviation R 6 317

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 5 737. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 392

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 642 to R 3 272
Finished ahead: 192 / 1,000 (19,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #471 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,55% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.271
Mean bets / session: 3.287
Loss multiplier: 0.969×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 30,2% / 109,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 1 61415 wagers · RTP 87,92%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 27712 wagers · RTP 137,37%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 24913 wagers · RTP 35,71%

American RouletteR 1 17712 wagers · RTP 88,45%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 14212 wagers · RTP 798,16%

Craps / DiceR 1 03811 wagers · RTP 65,41%

CrashR 98011 wagers · RTP 52,14%

Lottery / JackpotR 80310 wagers · RTP 29,64%

European RouletteR 7778 wagers · RTP 67,95%

BaccaratR 3514 wagers · RTP 117,95%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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