Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #315 / 1,000

P0921

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 72,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 630

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 370

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 803Deviation R 433

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 370. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 148

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 058 to R 12 495
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #647 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.661
Mean bets / session: 2.618
Loss multiplier: 1.0898×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 55,2% / 35,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 2 9155 wagers · RTP 63,84%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 8217 wagers · RTP 87,63%

CrashR 2 6306 wagers · RTP 142,97%

BlackjackR 2 4584 wagers · RTP 140,03%

European RouletteR 2 2684 wagers · RTP 189,68%

Craps / DiceR 2 1366 wagers · RTP 122,66%

American RouletteR 1 9776 wagers · RTP 40,47%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 8288 wagers · RTP 9,57%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 4942 wagers · RTP 25,30%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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