Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #559 / 1,000

P0922

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 61,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 618

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 382

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 044Deviation -R 1 338

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 382. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 916

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 733 to R 11 767
Finished ahead: 271 / 1,000 (27,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #698 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.815
Mean bets / session: 4.005
Loss multiplier: 1.0462×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 42,5% / 52,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 5 25717 wagers · RTP 100,78%

CrashR 3 21810 wagers · RTP 173,59%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 18713 wagers · RTP 39,94%

BaccaratR 2 6448 wagers · RTP 124,36%

European RouletteR 2 6078 wagers · RTP 35,33%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0977 wagers · RTP 92,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 14,29%

Craps / DiceR 1 6816 wagers · RTP 147,77%

BlackjackR 1 0323 wagers · RTP 83,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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