Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #901 / 1,000

P0929

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 9,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 1 117

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 8 883

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 751Deviation -R 8 133

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 8 883. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 013

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 328 to R 21 326
Finished ahead: 282 / 1,000 (28,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #704 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,50% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.049
Mean bets / session: 1.927
Loss multiplier: 1.2211×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 32,3% / 107,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 4 1989 wagers · RTP 35,87%

CrashR 3 8989 wagers · RTP 59,10%

BlackjackR 2 9336 wagers · RTP 51,07%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 0008 wagers · RTP 43,75%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 0004 wagers · RTP 50,35%

Craps / DiceR 1 2522 wagers · RTP 179,47%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2505 wagers · RTP 40,00%

BaccaratR 8422 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 3471 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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