Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #476 / 1,000

P0934

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 35,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 8 348

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 652

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 248Deviation -R 1 404

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 652. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 019

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 311 to R 5 596
Finished ahead: 273 / 1,000 (27,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #430 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 6,19% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.546
Mean bets / session: 1.369
Loss multiplier: 1.1277×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 64,4% / 54,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 1 2484 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BaccaratR 9363 wagers · RTP 66,67%

American RouletteR 7903 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 6242 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 6242 wagers · RTP 150,00%

CrashR 3121 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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