Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #806 / 1,000

P0940

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 47,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 564

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 436

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 965Deviation -R 4 471

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 436. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 139

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 909 to R 18 717
Finished ahead: 219 / 1,000 (21,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #798 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,83% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.321
Mean bets / session: 4.638
Loss multiplier: 1.1849×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 76,8% / 97,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3 30416 wagers · RTP 45,55%

BlackjackR 3 13315 wagers · RTP 110,79%

American RouletteR 2 79413 wagers · RTP 100,04%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 74713 wagers · RTP 41,14%

Craps / DiceR 2 72513 wagers · RTP 39,45%

BaccaratR 2 61213 wagers · RTP 126,45%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 58012 wagers · RTP 75,00%

CrashR 2 32012 wagers · RTP 98,44%

European RouletteR 2 10910 wagers · RTP 61,17%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 50015 wagers · RTP 40,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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