Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #159 / 1,000

P0944

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 75,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 588

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 588

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 186Deviation R 1 773

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 588. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 515

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 725 to R 20 027
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #778 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.63
Mean bets / session: 4.504
Loss multiplier: 1.0485×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 65,1% / 95,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Craps / DiceR 5 2928 wagers · RTP 54,88%

BlackjackR 4 7927 wagers · RTP 62,57%

CrashR 3 5007 wagers · RTP 128,57%

BaccaratR 2 5844 wagers · RTP 110,91%

American RouletteR 2 4564 wagers · RTP 397,48%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 9564 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 6134 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 166,67%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 28,57%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5002 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies