Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #773 / 1,000

P0945

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 26,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 259

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 742

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 890Deviation -R 4 851

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 742. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 876

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 834 to R 12 279
Finished ahead: 260 / 1,000 (26,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #693 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,58% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.557
Mean bets / session: 4.364
Loss multiplier: 1.004×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 75,8% / 83,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 3 3999 wagers · RTP 117,03%

BaccaratR 3 1879 wagers · RTP 95,20%

American RouletteR 2 4706 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2 2996 wagers · RTP 35,06%

Three-Reel SlotR 2 1649 wagers · RTP 50,39%

BlackjackR 1 7196 wagers · RTP 161,61%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 4844 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 0075 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 8183 wagers · RTP 234,60%

Lottery / JackpotR 8008 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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