Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #629 / 1,000

P0956

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 45,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 6 773

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 227

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 704Deviation -R 2 524

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 227. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 688

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 6 694 to R 12 655
Finished ahead: 309 / 1,000 (30,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #615 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,71% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.672
Mean bets / session: 1.169
Loss multiplier: 0.9071×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 69,5% / 57,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 2 7564 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2 3725 wagers · RTP 147,55%

European RouletteR 1 3832 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 2642 wagers · RTP 169,30%

BaccaratR 8361 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5001 wagers · RTP 266,72%

BlackjackR 3901 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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