Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #846 / 1,000

P0958

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 21,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 596

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 404

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 025Deviation -R 6 379

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 404. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 050

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 8 697 to R 17 326
Finished ahead: 240 / 1,000 (24,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #755 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.131
Mean bets / session: 2.487
Loss multiplier: 1.2387×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 50,3% / 96,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 4 70312 wagers · RTP 89,54%

CrashR 3 74111 wagers · RTP 45,17%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 42910 wagers · RTP 72,40%

BaccaratR 2 1476 wagers · RTP 144,34%

BlackjackR 2 1165 wagers · RTP 82,61%

American RouletteR 2 0274 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 8033 wagers · RTP 28,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 6617 wagers · RTP 83,99%

Three-Reel SlotR 9084 wagers · RTP 55,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies