Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #811 / 1,000

P0959

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 13,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 3 423

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 577

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 840Deviation -R 5 737

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 577. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 3 112

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 636 to R 13 388
Finished ahead: 287 / 1,000 (28,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #649 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,20% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.609
Mean bets / session: 3.46
Loss multiplier: 1.0663×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 78,0% / 79,5% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 3 9938 wagers · RTP 138,99%

European RouletteR 3 97810 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 3 4017 wagers · RTP 53,51%

CrashR 3 23710 wagers · RTP 84,45%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 5756 wagers · RTP 91,78%

BaccaratR 1 5656 wagers · RTP 135,44%

American RouletteR 1 4493 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1415 wagers · RTP 43,82%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 83,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies