Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #729 / 1,000

P0967

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 12,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 5 150

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 4 850

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 649Deviation -R 4 201

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 4 850. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 796

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 431 to R 8 122
Finished ahead: 211 / 1,000 (21,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #621 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,86% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.839
Mean bets / session: 4.214
Loss multiplier: 0.9493×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 35,4% / 107,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 48215 wagers · RTP 49,72%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 93015 wagers · RTP 49,77%

European RouletteR 1 78610 wagers · RTP 67,30%

BlackjackR 1 54314 wagers · RTP 89,95%

Craps / DiceR 1 35512 wagers · RTP 109,08%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8869 wagers · RTP 101,47%

BaccaratR 8657 wagers · RTP 70,11%

Lottery / JackpotR 8599 wagers · RTP 43,77%

American RouletteR 7558 wagers · RTP 9,27%

CrashR 6035 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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