Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #534 / 1,000

P0969

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 38,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 865

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 135

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 411Deviation -R 1 724

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 135. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 611

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 951 to R 4 541
Finished ahead: 242 / 1,000 (24,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #501 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,67% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.665
Mean bets / session: 3.139
Loss multiplier: 0.8883×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,2% / 89,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 1 35210 wagers · RTP 35,78%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0486 wagers · RTP 94,66%

Craps / DiceR 9046 wagers · RTP 84,51%

European RouletteR 8735 wagers · RTP 56,36%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8535 wagers · RTP 68,58%

BlackjackR 7335 wagers · RTP 107,09%

BaccaratR 6054 wagers · RTP 34,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 5607 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 5554 wagers · RTP 251,35%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3593 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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