Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #851 / 1,000

P0973

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 31,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 479

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 521

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 219Deviation -R 6 302

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 521. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 5 152

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 481 to R 23 255
Finished ahead: 274 / 1,000 (27,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #761 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.334
Mean bets / session: 3.014
Loss multiplier: 0.8982×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 41,5% / 106,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 4 12711 wagers · RTP 87,04%

BlackjackR 4 00312 wagers · RTP 112,57%

BaccaratR 3 95311 wagers · RTP 97,44%

American RouletteR 3 54511 wagers · RTP 14,39%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3 4569 wagers · RTP 106,40%

Craps / DiceR 3 3499 wagers · RTP 98,48%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 53711 wagers · RTP 19,71%

CrashR 2 3898 wagers · RTP 85,62%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 9938 wagers · RTP 37,63%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies