Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #538 / 1,000

P0974

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 18,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 7 845

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 155

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 250Deviation -R 1 905

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 155. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 1 078

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 889 to R 3 817
Finished ahead: 270 / 1,000 (27,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #432 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 2,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.942
Mean bets / session: 1.037
Loss multiplier: 1.0423×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 40,0% / 37,3% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0916 wagers · RTP 91,98%

BaccaratR 8684 wagers · RTP 93,09%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7204 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 4142 wagers · RTP 87,92%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2321 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1872 wagers · RTP 42,11%

American RouletteR 1801 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1621 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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