Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #331 / 1,000

P0975

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 40,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 9 550

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 450

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 72Deviation -R 377

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 450. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 358

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 830 to R 1 351
Finished ahead: 224 / 1,000 (22,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #328 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 0,48% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.878
Mean bets / session: 1.187
Loss multiplier: 0.8718×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 47,0% / 90,8% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 2745 wagers · RTP 87,04%

European RouletteR 2426 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2093 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 1472 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1364 wagers · RTP 141,91%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1232 wagers · RTP 87,72%

Lottery / JackpotR 1082 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 911 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 271 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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