Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #760 / 1,000

P0979

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 25,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 491

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 509

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 924Deviation -R 4 585

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 509. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 908

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 7 964 to R 13 531
Finished ahead: 306 / 1,000 (30,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #630 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 7,57% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.813
Mean bets / session: 2.063
Loss multiplier: 1.2395×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 78,5% / 62,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

CrashR 4 93710 wagers · RTP 71,72%

Craps / DiceR 4 4569 wagers · RTP 91,16%

American RouletteR 3 3177 wagers · RTP 22,37%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 4885 wagers · RTP 133,64%

European RouletteR 2 4565 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2 1084 wagers · RTP 100,00%

BlackjackR 4801 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 500,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2501 wagers · RTP 50,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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