Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #98 / 1,000

P0981

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 84,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 12 942

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 2 942

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 721Deviation R 3 663

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 2 942. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 217

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 988 to R 9 808
Finished ahead: 293 / 1,000 (29,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #571 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 5,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.789
Mean bets / session: 1.226
Loss multiplier: 0.9897×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,9% / 36,6% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

European RouletteR 2 9085 wagers · RTP 102,82%

Craps / DiceR 2 3924 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1 5083 wagers · RTP 79,31%

CrashR 1 5003 wagers · RTP 150,00%

BaccaratR 1 4393 wagers · RTP 100,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0002 wagers · RTP 584,05%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

BlackjackR 4741 wagers · RTP 200,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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