Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #923 / 1,000

P0982

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 24,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 679

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 9 321

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 449Deviation -R 7 872

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 9 321. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 6 409

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 918 to R 27 415
Finished ahead: 255 / 1,000 (25,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #808 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 8,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.346
Mean bets / session: 4.236
Loss multiplier: 1.2493×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 32,0% / 84,1% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 5 66223 wagers · RTP 120,63%

Craps / DiceR 4 23817 wagers · RTP 83,74%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4 14521 wagers · RTP 15,32%

American RouletteR 4 06218 wagers · RTP 42,39%

CrashR 3 66615 wagers · RTP 55,57%

Three-Reel SlotR 3 23414 wagers · RTP 88,31%

European RouletteR 3 12312 wagers · RTP 76,43%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 67911 wagers · RTP 92,96%

BlackjackR 1 4237 wagers · RTP 103,90%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 07411 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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